Cant believe that AA lets him leave. @ice. They are paying $44 million max for both years and its likely that a single season of a TOR starter in 5 years will cost close to that much. Obviously if it went that route the Braves win this by a bit, maybe $10 mil in their favor by the end of it roughly. Your justification for the contract makes no sense. Strider will be Super Two because he will be top 2 in ROY voting and that earns him and extra year of service time in the new CBA. His FA years would go up from than final season of arbitration eligibility. Amateur career [ edit] So yeah, cost of living is a factor. Rct and Cosmos2 are the two Met commenters on the site that most fit this description. Ugh! Winning is irrelevant. Great job by signing Strider to an extension. Makes it more sustainable to retain this core group long term. By all the offensive players Im assuming youre only referring to Harris? Strider will qualify for Super Two, so he will get 4 years of arbitration and if next season is close to 2022 then its going to be between the current first year arb record for a starting pitcher of $9.5 million and Bellingers $11.5 million figure. Why? Swanson only played 38 games in his debut season in 2016. Morning after getting knocked out plus Striders dig at them a few months ago about not being as good as their record and stats showed meltdown city. Btw.you put that Mets collapse in the books yet? The Mets only have one tool in the toolbox and that tool is green if you know what I mean. Spencer Strider signed a 6 year / $75,000,000 contract with the Atlanta Braves, including $75,000,000 guaranteed, and an annual average salary of $12,500,000. He should call Chaim Bloom and give him instructions. He made his MLB debut in 2021 and now plays for the Mississippi Braves, Gwinnett Stripers, Augusta GreenJackets, and Rome Braves. Walk rate down to a career low while his K rate is basically at a career high. For 1st? It is purely a way to get extra money in the hands of 0-3 year service time players who are not arbitration eligible and subject to receiving the league minimum. He wouldnt get anywhere near the same amount of extra money in bonuses, and thats assuming he remains good enough to get additional bonuses after this year. The specific cutoff date varies on a year-to-year basis. The Clemson product cracked the Braves Opening Day roster in 2022, initially working multi-inning stints out of the bullpen before ascending to the starting staff, where he not only found success but emerged as a bona fide front-of-the-rotation arm. Draft He sought treatment through medication, but wasn't seeing the improvement he wanted. AAs notoriously quiet when negotiating. 2023 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft: Salary cap (auction) results for Head-to-Head (H2H) points league . All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. Love to see it for the player, team and the fan base. Braves should stay as far away from Correas mercenary thoughts (and bad back) as possible. Kudos to him if he wants to do it; cant blame him for being happy to take nine figures to stay with his hometown team and to stay with this core of players but there should be a lot more on the market for him than that. us. No owner is changing that. The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball, Salaries may not be complete (especially pre-1985) and may not include some earned bonuses. anybody signing Swanson for 6/120 will regret it. I know the first few years here are cheap, but still . Wow. And 2.003 years is nowhere near enough to qualify as a Super Two. AA is saving money collectively and signing his core players. He touched 101 early in the outing. The Braves will have a formidable starting rotation with Strider, Max Fried and Kyle Wright for years to come. A Super Two is in the top 22 percent (in terms of service time not performance) of all players in their service class during the offseason that they have at least 2 but less than 3 years of service time. They lost Acuna and won a WS. Story 16.2 WAR "There's nobody that has higher aspirations or expectations for performance than myself. He is definitely a Super Two candidate. Total Zone Rating and initial framework for Wins above Replacement calculations provided by Sean Smith. Dynasty, Mets are going to spend and bankrupt Cohen while winning absolutely nothing. Top 10 hitter in baseball. Swansons best year is his contract year, and even then its only a 115 OPS+ (when 100 is league average). Because of their long-term deals, they are already approaching their cap limit and for that reason will only be able to add Swanson or a frontline pitcher like DeGrom. Id bet serious coin Swanson wont give up the money some GM who still believes in career years will throw at him. 3rd ARB year was supposed to be $21.5 MM. Yeah, then every utility bench player with a heart of gold should make $10-15M a year. I finally cut the cord and were saving thousands every year. 2 top 5 MVP finishes before his first 2 arb seasons. Plenty that rep for other teams. older demographic) are even able to do that? His service time was at 2 years and 148 days when he qualified for a difference of 145 days of service when a full season is 172 days. Worst case for Strider is close to what happened with Charlie Morton this year, and guess what? Not sure what your point is, but throwing 100 mph doesnt mean crap for a number of reasons, one there are guys like Mauricio Cabrera:, Bruce Rondn, Henry Alberto Rodriguez:, Joel Zumaya:, Tayron Guerrero, Bobby Parnell, who have touched 103 mph and none have made anywhere near that money and all had problems turning velocity into results. He is getting more then 3 years. . Some recent examplesHarvey (lol), Matz, Gsellman, etc. Because we respect your right to privacy, you can choose not to allow some types of cookies. Has to be mostly geographic. Cant do it? Strider went on to blame the umpires for some long Mets at-bats, as well as inflating his pitch count. Thats the point but take it personal. I was comparing their first full seasons. I bet the Yankees are wishing Judge took that extension earlier this year. Notice I mentioned that those numbers were for 7 years of Swansons production? Thats pretty much the point: Those arbitration payouts are only worth it at about a 95%+ projection of his future value, whereas they should be paying close to the 50% projection if even that much. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Just here for Mets fans comments. They shouldve gotten at least 3 guaranteed free agent years plus an option year for that kind of heavy payout, and even then its unnecessarily risky for the team compared to other early career extensions. The New York Mets lead the division for most of the season. Thats the reverse logic he was trying to calculate for, but that doesnt make sense! $10M (2025) The Apple TV games are absolutely free to watch, no paid subscription required and no blackouts on the service itself! The Braves and Mets both won 101 games. Soto put up an .853 OPS and 149 OPS+. 4th year $30+ MM Im confident youve been subjected to it countless times. Though for the sake of my Mets, I hope they penny pinch and let him walk, haha. As much as the Acuna and Albies deals were highway robbery they still havent been good cause theyve been hurt or half what they were. Spencer Strider's salary is $710,000 per year, which includes a $0 signing bonus. Saying that strider pitched last year too as the focal point of your comparison is disingenuous. $35M (2028 Option). Actually, I think the Braves are taking on more of the risk. $16M (2026) Then you see it wrong, they are ALREADY PAYING HIM top dollar in this deal. Rather pay him instead of 330 or whatever to Cole. You see the pieces that are already in place. Right?? Anyone who can sign up to a website and verify a second factor of authorization can do it. Grissom has about as much chance of playing a capable ML SS as a fan picked at random when they come through the gate. Good deal for both sides. Sure, lofty but possible. The Braves need to go all-in now when the NL East is weak. This might be the worst extension overpay I have ever seen. . The lowest the cutoff has been since 2009 is 2.115. Braves fans are setup extremely well. Shewmake is about ready though and they could sign a veteran cheap to platoon with him or just keep Dansby and use Shewmake as trade bait. That is between 2 and 3 years. The net effect of them not manipulating his service time is that they get an extra draft pick as per the new CBA. The dumb ones, like the Alderson-Eppler-Cohen Mets, traded 11 rWAR worth of MI for the privilege of giving Lindor $363m over 11 seasons because, as usual, they couldnt see what was right in front of them. The players are definitely buying what the Braves are selling. 2023 Pre Arb year $1 million (yes, MLB minimum is $700k) For the fans sake, I hope ownership realizes the value of spending some money and they re-sign Swanson. Strikeouts have the highest correlation with statistical fall off. Everything is an option, quite honestly, Snitker said. This is how you run an organization. However, he already has slightly more than a full year of service time. Strider returned from his injury in 2020 and was later picked in the fourth round of the MLB 2020 draft by the Atlanta Braves, with whom he eventually signed a contract. I am sure that actuaries worked hard. Theyre a tight group and theyre great young men, Snitker said. On the other hand, thats a trivial concern when juxtaposed with the benefit of having so many high-end players signed for the next six-plus seasons. Disagree on my mets. Who doesnt believe that the Tigers have serious buyers remorse on Baez? He is likely to finish 2nd in NL ROY to teammate Michael Harris II, which means both get credited with a full year of service for 2022 regardless of whether they were brought up late or stayed on the roster all season. You are also assuming he doesnt fall off a cliff statistically like Trevor Rogers this year where he went from a 2.64 ERA to 5.47 ERA or for the analytical types he went from a 2.55 FIP (2021) to 4.36 FIP (2022). Striders dominance has positioned him as one of the two favorites for National League Rookie of the Year honors, as he and teammate Harris are widely viewed as the presumptive first- and second-place finishers in an extremely strong year for rookies (both in the NL and in MLB as a whole). By RotoWire Staff. Think hell get significantly longer offers than 3 years Sid. Theyve been doing well to develop revenue streams and having them as serious generators by the time the current contract is up, and when a new one is signed, they should be up there in annual budgets (and profitability). No, theyd be paying him much less than $40M over his arbitration years if he devolves into a 4.00 ERA pitcher., which is far from the worst case scenario for a pitcher who has only a dominant rookie year to date. Spencer Strider has been a revelation for the Atlanta Braves in 2022 and they rewarded his incredible performance with a six-year $75 million contract. We anticipate him being really good because he was yesterday in the pen. Data Provided By I used Harvey as a buyer beware caution notice. Still waiting to see the projection where two arb years are the same, factoring in the obligatory TJ surgery. Most of the professional commentators (fwiw) picked the Braves on the basis that the Mets had yet to unthrone the kings. They're projected to have a league-high $61.7 million in salary-cap space, . If another team over values him based on his 2 week debut, the Braves should deal him. Thats conjecture, you stating what his arb years would or wouldnt be considering the volatility of pitchers, players with less than two years of major league experience, players with less than 150 major league innings, and who have barely seen each team once, when pitching has the advantage over hitting when neither has faced each other. Instead, he attended Clemson University and played college baseball for the Clemson Tigers. This is a big market spending club unfortunately, And Clayton Kershaw was going to sign with the Rangers cuz hes a local guy. Musgrove also signed a team friendly extension w/his hometown Padres. Lets say you are going to a MLB game at your local stadium and for-the-sake-of-argument lets say there are only 4 seat choices: bleachers $15, nose-bleeds (2nd & 3rd deck) $40, between 1st and 3rd base behind the dugouts for $100, and a seat in a suite for $150. I really hope Dansby is extended and I think he will (hes a local guy and by all accounts loves being a Brave). ITT: People who dont know what Super Two means. ~$9M (Super Two, Arb1) A bonus is a bonus. Spencer Strider made his Major League Baseball debut in 2020 with the Mississippi Braves, the Gwinnett Stripers, the Augusta GreenJackets, and the Rome Braves. Strider agreed to a six-year, $75 million deal that includes a $22 million option with a $5 million buyout for 2029. Strider is represented by Frontline. Soto himself did not have a top 5 MVP finish this year for example. Gotta love it. Im sure Ill get roasted with comments on letting Shewmake run with SS but Im trying to be reasonable. Spencer Strider is still a rookie in the Atlanta Braves, but he's got the potential to become a professional. Braves fans will be the first ones screaming when all these long term signing dont work out and the team starts getting hamstrung. Albies was banged up this year but his $35M contract was earned in basically a year and a half. $14M (2026) The Braves stepped up and want Morton to do it again, for $20m. Join our linker program. even $50M. I rather prefer people dont respect the Braves. To your point, Strider hasnt come close to earning it, hes shown PROMISE, not sustained success. 2 things: The dudes who write for this site were linking Cole to the Angels. Know it all..not no-it-all. Imo, you made a reasonable case for your trade evaluation w/out the amateur psychological evaluation.
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